Thanksgiving travel forecasts point to typically busy airports, roads and trains
By RIO YAMAT
AP Airlines and Travel Writer
The turbulence caused by the longest U.S. government shutdown may still be fresh on the minds of travelers this Thanksgiving, but experts say preparing for the usual holiday crush of winter weather, heavy traffic and crowded airports can help ease the jitters.
“I think the shutdown at this point is history for air travel. The airlines understand this time of year so well. They know exactly what they need to do,” said Sheldon H. Jacobson, an airport and airlines operations expert. “The real challenge is making sure travelers can help themselves.”
Here’s a guide to navigating the busiest travel week of the year:
How busy could it be?
Travel forecasts point to packed airports, roads and trains.
A week after lifting the unprecedented flight restrictions it placed on commercial airlines during the shutdown, the Federal Aviation Administration is anticipating its busiest Thanksgiving in 15 years, with more than 360,000 flights scheduled between Monday and next Tuesday. That’s more than 17.8 million people who will be screened at airports, according to the Transportation Security Administration.
Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said Monday at a news conference that air traffic controller staffing levels have stabilized in time for what he says will be the busiest Thanksgiving on record for travel, while the head of the FAA reassured passengers that they can “fly with confidence” this week.
AAA projects 1.3 million more travelers will be on the roads than last year, pushing the total number of people traveling by car to at least 73 million.
Winter weather
You can’t control the weather, but you can control how prepared you are if a storm hits. If your flight is canceled or delayed, will you drive instead or postpone or cancel your trip? Knowing your options ahead of time can reduce stress if a storm leaves you stranded.
The Weather Channel offers a Thanksgiving weekly forecast highlighting major airports and highways that could be affected by bad weather, including snow, ice and rain.
Forecasters said rain expected Tuesday in the Pacific Northwest and in much of the eastern U.S. could impact airports in Atlanta, Chicago, New York, Philadelphia, Seattle and Washington, D.C.
Heavy rain shut down air traffic control operations for about 10 minutes Tuesday at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, but a spokesperson said things were back to normal. More than 700 flights into and out of the airport were delayed by Tuesday evening. At Chicago O’Hare International Airport, nearly 350 departing and arriving flights were delayed as of Tuesday afternoon.
Dan DePodwin, vice president of forecasting operations at AccuWeather, said more widespread “travel troubles” were expected through the weekend, from the Rockies to the Midwest and Great Lakes regions. Starting Wednesday night, he said, heavy snowfall was in the forecast for parts of Michigan, Ohio and the Buffalo, New York, corridor, with 6-12 inches of snow expected in some areas and whiteout conditions at times on Thanksgiving Day.
A “broader winter storm” was expected to take shape Friday in the Rockies and across the Midwest on Saturday, DePodwin said. It could bring “the first plowable snowfall of the season” to parts of Nebraska, Iowa and Wisconsin before the storm system moves east and “loses its punch,” he said.
What to pack (and what to skip)
Jacobson, whose research contributed to the design of TSA PreCheck, recommends starting your packing by unpacking. Check every pocket for TSA-restricted items, like full-sized bottles, that may have been left behind from a previous trip. This simple scan can help you get through security faster, especially when airports are crowded.
If you’re traveling with gifts, Jacobson suggests wrapping them at your destination because TSA agents may need to open them.
When deciding which clothes and shoes to pack, check the “feels like” temperature for a better sense of the weather, especially for those not used to the cold.
Walker Powell, who was flying Tuesday out of Denver International Airport with his two young children, suggested packing a lot of snacks and toys to keep kids occupied during long travel days.
“Is it worth it to travel for the week of Thanksgiving? 100%,” Powell said, adding that he values giving his children time to spend with their grandparents. “We went back and forth on it for a while, but with our family living in Louisiana and us in Colorado, we don’t get that many times to see each other.”
And don’t forget a REAL ID is required to fly within the U.S., or bring another accepted form of ID, like a passport or military ID.
Road trip ready
Whether driving is your top choice or backup plan, AAA spokesperson Aixa Diaz suggests checking your tires, car battery and fluids, then hitting the road with a full tank of gas as early as possible to avoid traffic. Last year, AAA said, it responded to nearly 600,000 emergency roadside assistance calls during the Thanksgiving travel period to help drivers stranded by dead batteries, flat tires and empty tanks.
According to an analysis by Google Maps:
— Traffic on Wednesday is expected to be 14% heavier than usual between 10 a.m. and 4 p.m., with peak traffic from 1 p.m. to 3 p.m.
— On Thanksgiving Day, the roads will be busiest between noon and 3 p.m.
— When it’s time to head home, avoid driving from 12 to 3 p.m. on Saturday and Sunday, when traffic is heaviest.
The best passenger
“…is an informed passenger,” Jacobson likes to say.
Download your airline’s app to track your flight status, and check it regularly as your travel date approaches. That way, if your flight is canceled the day before, you can quickly look for alternatives.
Driving or flying, leave earlier than you think you need to. Knowing you won’t have to rush to your destination can help calm any nerves, whether it’s lingering anxiety from the shutdown or because you’re traveling with young kids or someone who needs extra help getting around.
“These are some very simple things to think about, but they’re important things to think about,” Jacobson said.
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Associated Press journalist Thomas Peipert contributed from Denver.
